The trial (Gaal supposed it to be one, though it bore little resemblancelegalistically to the elaborate trial techniques Gaal had read of) had notlasted long. It was in its third day. Yet already, Gaal could no longerstretch his memory back far enough to embrace its beginning.
He himself had been but little pecked at. The heavy guns were trained onDr. Seldon himself. Hari Seldon, however, sat there unperturbed. To Gaal,he was the only spot of stability remaining in the world.
The audience was small and drawn exclusively from among the Barons of theEmpire. Press and public were excluded and it was doubtful that anysignificant number of outsiders even knew that a trial of Seldon was beingconducted. The atmosphere was one of unrelieved hostility toward thedefendants.
Five of the Commission of Public Safety sat behind the raised desk. Theywore scarlet and gold uniforms and the shining, close-fitting plastic capsthat were the sign of their judicial function. In the center was the ChiefCommissioner Linge Chen. Gaal had never before seen so great a Lord and hewatched him with fascination. Chen, throughout the trial, rarely said aword. He made it quite clear that much speech was beneath his dignity.
The Commission's Advocate consulted his notes and the examinationcontinued, with Seldon still on the stand:
Q. Let us see, Dr. Seldon. How many men are now engaged in the project ofwhich you are head?
A. Fifty mathematicians.
Q. Including Dr. Gaal Dornick?
A. Dr. Dornick is the fifty-first,Q. Oh, we have fifty-one then? Search your memory, Dr. Seldon. Perhapsthere are fifty-two or fifty-three? Or perhaps even more?
A. Dr. Dornick has not yet formally joined my organization. When he does,the membership will be fifty-one. It is now fifty, as I have said.
Q. Not perhaps nearly a hundred thousand?
A. Mathematicians? No.
Q. I did not say mathematicians. Are there a hundred thousand in allcapacities?
A. In all capacities, your figure may be correct.
Q. May be? I say it is. I say that the men in your project numberninety-eight thousand, five hundred and seventy-two.
A. I believe you are counting women and children.
Q. (raising his voice) Ninety eight thousand five hundred and seventy-twoindividuals is the intent of my statement. There is no need to quibble.
A. I accept the figures.
Q. (referring to his notes) Let us drop that for the moment, then, and takeup another matter which we have already discussed at some length. Would yourepeat, Dr. Seldon, your thoughts concerning the future of Trantor?
A. I have said, and I say again, that Trantor will lie in ruins within thenext three centuries.
Q. You do not consider your statement a disloyal one?
A. No, sir. Scientific truth is beyond loyalty and disloyalty.
Q. You are sure that your statement represents scientific truth?
A. I am.
Q. On what basis?
A. On the basis of the mathematics of psychohistory.
Q. Can you prove that this mathematics is valid'?
A. Only to another mathematician.
Q. (with a smile) Your claim then is that your truth is of so esoteric anature that it is beyond the understanding of a plain man. It seems to methat truth should be clearer than that, less mysterious, more open to themind.
A. It presents no difficulties to some minds. The physics of energytransfer, which we know as thermodynamics, has been clear and true throughall the history of man since the mythical ages, yet there may be peoplepresent who would find it impossible to design a power engine. People ofhigh intelligence, too. I doubt if the learned Commissioners?
At this point, one of the Commissioners leaned toward the Advocate. Hiswords were not heard but the hissing of the voice carried a certainasperity. The Advocate flushed and interrupted Seldon.
Q. We are not here to listen to speeches, Dr. Seldon. Let us assume thatyou have made your point. Let me suggest to you that your predictions ofdisaster might be intended to destroy public confidence in the ImperialGovernment for purposes of your own.
A. That is not so.
Q. Let me suggest that you intend to claim that a period of time precedingthe so-called ruin of Trantor will be filled with unrest of various types.
A. That is correct.
Q. And that by the mere prediction thereof, you hope to bring it about, andto have then an army of a hundred thousand available.
A. In the first place, that is not so. And if it were, investigation willshow you that barely ten thousand are men of military age, and none ofthese has training in arms.
Q. Are you acting as an agent for another?
A. I am not in the pay of any man, Mr. Advocate.
Q. You are entirely disinterested? You are serving science?
A. I am.
Q. Then let us see how. Can the future be changed, Dr. Seldon?
A. Obviously. This courtroom may explode in the next few hours, or it maynot. If it did, the future would undoubtedly be changed in some minorrespects.
Q. You quibble, Dr. Seldon. Can the overall history of the human race bechanged?
A. Yes.
Q. Easily?
A. No. With great difficulty.
Q. Why?
A. The psychohistoric trend of a planet-full of people contains a hugeinertia. To be changed it must be met with something possessing a similarinertia. Either as many people must be concerned, or if the number ofpeople be relatively small, enormous time for change must be allowed. Doyou understand?
Q. I think I do. Trantor need not be ruined, if a great many people decideto act so that it will not.
A. That is right.
Q. As many as a hundred thousand people?
A. No, sir. That is far too few.
Q. You are sure?
A. Consider that Trantor has a population of over forty billions. Considerfurther that the trend leading to ruin does not belong to Trantor alone butto the Empire as a whole and the Empire contains nearly a quintillion humanbeings.
Q. I see. Then perhaps a hundred thousand people can change the trend, ifthey and their descendants labor for three hundred years.
A. I'm afraid not. Three hundred years is too short a time.
Q. Ah! In that case, Dr. Seldon, we are left with this deduction to be madefrom your statements. You have gathered one hundred thousand people withinthe confines of your project. These are insufficient to change the histo............