PSYCHOHISTORY?..Gaal Dornick, using nonmathematical concepts, has definedpsychohistory to be that branch of mathematics which deals with thereactions of human conglomerates to fixed social and economic stimuli....
... Implicit in all these definitions is the assumption that the humanconglomerate being dealt with is sufficiently large for valid statisticaltreatment. The necessary size of such a conglomerate may be determined bySeldon's First Theorem which ... A further necessary assumption is that thehuman conglomerate be itself unaware of psychohistoric analysis in orderthat its reactions be truly random ...
The basis of all valid psychohistory lies in the development of the Seldon.
Functions which exhibit properties congruent to those of such social andeconomic forces as ...
ENCYCLOPEDIA GALACTICA"Good afternoon, sir," said Gaal. "I?I?
"You didn't think we were to meet before tomorrow? Ordinarily, we would nothave. It is just that if we are to use your services, we must work quickly.
It grows continually more difficult to obtain recruits.""I don't understand, sir.""You were talking to a man on the observation tower, were you not?""Yes. His first name is Jerril. I know no more about him. ""His name is nothing. He is an agent of the Commission of Public Safety. Hefollowed you from the space-port.""But why? I am afraid I am very confused.""Did the man on the tower say nothing about me?"Gaal hesitated, "He referred to you as Raven Seldon.""Did he say why?""He said you predict disaster.""I do. What does Trantor mean to you?"Everyone seemed to be asking his opinion of Trantor. Gaal felt incapable ofresponse beyond the bare word, "Glorious.""You say that without thinking. What of psychohistory?""I haven't thought of applying it to the problem.""Before you are done with me, young man, you will learn to applypsychohistory to all problems as a matter of course. 朞bserve." Seldonremoved his calculator pad from the pouch at his belt. Men said he kept onebeneath his pillow for use in moments of wakefulness. Its gray, glossyfinish was slightly worn by use. Seldon's nimble fingers, spotted now withage, played along the files and rows of buttons that filled its surface.
Red symbols glowed out from the upper tier.
He said, "That represents the condition of the Empire at present."He waited.
Gaal said finally, "Surely that is not a complete representation.""No, not complete," said Seldon. "I am glad you do not accept my wordblindly. However, this is an approximation which will serve to demonstratethe proposition. Will you accept that?&quo............